• Mirela Sorina Miescu
• Giorgio Motta
• Dario Pontiggia
• Raffaele Rossi

Publication date: 17/10/2023
Place of Publication: Lancaster
Publisher: Lancaster University, Department of Economics
Original language: English

Publication series
Name Economics Working Papers Series

Abstract
This paper studies the macroeconomic effects of exogenous changes in housing credit supply. We identify the credit supply shock with a narrative dataset within a Factor-Augmented VAR. We find that a housing credit supply shock is expansionary in the housing sector, the financial markets as well as on main macroeconomic indicators. A one percent increase in the housing credit supply expands Industrial Production up to 1.4 percent and reduces the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. We show that controlling for missing information and anticipation effects is crucial for evaluating the transmission mechanism of housing credit supply shocks on the macroeconomy.